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As we approach the end of 2023, the electability of the presidential and vice-presidential candidate set number two, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka, has gone beyond 50%, according to the current study by New Indonesia Research & Consulting, launched on Friday, December 8, 2023.
Andreas Nuryono, the Exec Director of New Indonesia Study & Consulting, mentioned in his announcement that the Prabowo-Gibran duo holds a considerable lead over the various other two sets of governmental candidates in a simulation involving three prospect sets. Set number three, Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud Md, secured 26.0% of the assistance. At the same time, set leading, Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar, gathered only 15.3%, with 8.2% responding as uncertain.
" With an electability of 50.5%, the Prabowo-Gibran set is anticipated to win the presidential election in a single round," stated Andreas Nuryono in his release, as reported by Antara.
Therefore, Andreas proceeded, it is extremely likely that the 2024 presidential election will certainly be decided in simply one round. He kept in mind a substantial change in the previous 3 months, leading up to the governmental race limiting to 3 pairs of candidates. In the September survey, Prabowo's electability had not yet reached 40% in a simulation entailing 3 presidential prospects.
After being coupled with Gibran, the oldest son of President Joko Widodo (Jokowi), assistance for Prabowo has risen. Alternatively, Ganjar and Anies saw their electability decline, returning to simulations with multiple presidential candidates. "The choice of the vice-presidential figure significantly enhanced Prabowo's electability, rather than Ganjar or Anies," explained Andreas.
The New Indonesia Research study & Consulting survey was conducted from November 25 to 30, 2023, including 1,200 respondents representing all districts. The survey used multistage arbitrary sampling, with a margin of error of ± 2.89% and a 95% self-confidence degree.
Prabowo-Gibran Leads in Polstat Study: 43.5%, Ganjar-Mahfud 27.2%, Anies-Cak Imin 25.8%.
Formerly, the Political Data (Polstat) Indonesia study agency additionally released their most current survey findings relating to the electability of presidential and vice-presidential candidates 2 months before the 2024 election.
One interesting finding from the Polstat survey is that in spite of a month of objection and distributing issues, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka's electability remains unshaken. The set, perceived by the public to have received full endorsement from Head of state Jokowi, is acquiring also much more popularity.
This is just one of the conclusions from the Polstat Indonesia survey, performed from November 27 to December 2013 throughout all 38 districts in the Republic of Indonesia.
" When Polstat Indonesia asked participants which match they would choose if the election were held today, 43.5% of participants said they would elect Prabowo-Gibran," said Apna Permana, Director of Study at Polstat Indonesia.
The set that has actually just recently tended to take an opposing stance to the government, Ganjar-Mahfud, is dealing with a decline in popularity, with just 27.2% of participants choosing them.
Anies-Cak Imin, on the various other hand, gathered an electability of 25.8%, very closely coming close to Ganjar-Mahfud's placement. Just 3.5% of participants continued to be undecided.
If you want to find out more about Jokowi dan Prabowo taktik stop by the web site. The study's population consisted of all Indonesian citizens aged 17 and over who had an Electronic Identification Card (E-KTP). A sample size of 1,200 respondents was acquired through a multi-stage random sampling method.
The margin of error was +/- 2.8%, with a confidence level of 95%. Information collection was carried out through straight in person interviews with respondents using sets of questions.
Shock in Surveys: TKN Chairman Believes Ganjar-Mahfud Will Win 54% in the 2024 Presidential Political election.
Chairman of the National Winning Team (TPN) for Ganjar-Mahfud, Arsjad Rasjid, advised all volunteer supporters of the 3rd pair of presidential and vice-presidential prospects not to think the study results. He shared self-confidence that Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud Md would win with 54% of the vote in the 2024 governmental political election, going beyond various other prospects with high electability.
" We have a target; we need to stay positive regarding winning 54%. Do not count on the numbers; do not be prevented by the figures," stated Arsjad during his speech at the progressive statement event for Ganjar-Mahfud on Friday, December 8, 2023.
He shared a tale concerning Ganjar's advocate Governor of Central Java, where Ganjar at first had low survey numbers contrasted to his challenger. Ganjar managed to emerge as the champion.
" When Mas Ganjar began his advocate guv, his numbers were at 8%, while Pak Bibit [his opponent] was currently at 30%. In the end, Mas Ganjar became the guv," Arsjad specified.
Therefore, Arsjad hired all volunteers to function with each other and artistically to ensure Ganjar-Mahfud's triumph in a solitary round in the 2024 governmental election.
" We must think that we can win; winning in one round is our objective. It's my target, your target, and our shared target," Arsjad stressed.
He highlighted the limited time left for marketing, with just 66 days staying. He advised everyone to move onward with unity and creativity.